Caroz Market Update: Freight rates in motion

Each monthly update we will highlight one trending topic which has an effect on the global ocean freight market.

Shifting freight rates, changing trade alliances, and geopolitical tensions are reshaping global logistics. While long-term contract rates rise despite falling spot rates, container production is set to decline, and new regulations are redefining competition. How will these shifts impact supply chains?

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CAROZ’s eye opener:

The container shipping market is facing a complex balancing act. While spot rates continue to drop, long-term contract rates are rising, forcing shippers to rethink their strategies. The hesitation in contract negotiations highlights the uncertainty in global trade, with carriers pushing for long-term commitments while shippers seek flexibility. At the same time, carriers are expected to attempt market disruptions to slow further rate declines and protect the long-term contracts already secured.

At the same time, the industry is adjusting to overcapacity in container equipment, with production set to nearly halve in 2025. While this suggests a more stable supply-demand balance, shifting manufacturing dynamics in Vietnam and India could reshape competition.

Geopolitical factors are adding further complexity. The U.S. push against China’s influence in Panama and regulatory shifts like the approval of Premier Alliance are redefining trade alliances. Meanwhile, sustainability and automation continue to shape logistics, with Chinese manufacturers introducing lighter, eco-friendly containers already being tested by major carriers.

Want to know more?

Each monthly update we will highlight the developments within the Ocean freight market including the following topics:

  • Trending topic: Freight rates in motion
  • Rail & Air | Asia – Europe
  • Space & rate developments
  • Port developments & congestion
  • Schedule reliability
  • TEU per operator
  • How to mitigate the risks

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